Calculating Enterprise Value
The enterprise value (EV) of the business is calculated by discounting the unlevered free cash flows (UFCFs) projected over the projection period and the terminal value calculated at the end of the projection period to their present values using the chosen discount rate (WACC).
In Excel, EV = NPV(r, array of FCFs for years 1 through n) + TV/(1+r)n.
|FCFn||=||Unlevered FCF occurring at the end of interval n|
|r||=||Weighted-average cost of capital (WACC)|
Always calculate the EV for a range of terminal multiples and perpetuity growth rates to illustrate the sensitivity of the DCF analysis to these critical inputs.
Mid-Year vs. End-Period Convention
The calculation of EV is affected by the assumptions regarding timing of the cash flows within a projection interval. The mid-period convention assumes that the UFCFs occur at the middle of each projection interval, while the end-period convention assumes all UFCFs occur at the end of each interval. In practice, the end-period convention is often used because it is more conservative (the UFCFs are discounted at a time more distant from the present).
The EV formula above assumes end-period convention. EV based on mid-year convention is calculated using the following formula:
|FCFn||=||Unlevered FCF occurring in the middle of interval n|
Alternatively, to arrive at the present value of the UFCFs using the mid-period convention, the present value of UFCFs based on end-period convention must be moved forward by half a year in time by multiplying it by (1+r)0.5 as follows:
|=||PV of UFCFs (end-period convention) × (1+r)0.5||+||TV|
Note that the NPV function in Excel uses end-period convention.
Calculating Equity Value
Equity value is calculated by simply subtracting net debt from the computed EV. While considering which balance sheet items should be included in the calculation of net debt, one must consider whether or not the income/expenses associated with a particular asset/liability was included in the calculation of EBIT to arrive at UFCF. Generally, if the expense associated with a liability is included in the calculation of EBIT, the liability should not be included in net debt. Likewise, if the income attributable to an asset has been included in the calculation of EBIT, the asset should not be included in the calculation of net debt.
Net debt is not dependent on the assumptions used in the DCF valuation, so you can subtract the constant net debt value from the range of EVs calculated as described above to arrive at a range of equity values. As an additional step, divide by the equity value by the current diluted shares outstanding to arrive at a theoretical range of share prices based on the DCF valuation.comments powered by Disqus